Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.200783 3.751077 4.337520 5.005892 5.743405 6.529331 7.427099
2024-10-20 2.401257 3.153440 4.016065 5.065084 6.292813 7.671269 9.322738
2024-10-27 1.779192 2.617144 3.648486 4.978955 6.617543 8.538700 10.929576
2024-11-03 1.420694 2.321087 3.501671 5.103155 7.159262 9.653449 12.848858
2024-11-10 1.138733 2.063757 3.352396 5.182673 7.620245 10.664582 14.660457
2024-11-17 0.868563 1.764063 3.094540 5.074560 7.808098 11.318343 16.031197
2024-11-24 0.654880 1.501198 2.844398 4.936845 7.925561 11.863152 17.258956
2024-12-01 0.511095 1.319098 2.683974 4.899861 8.160587 12.551791 18.673461
2024-12-08 0.392633 1.151364 2.518575 4.831257 8.333636 13.148979 19.970010
2024-12-15 0.343185 1.106906 2.548708 5.058113 8.933179 14.334953 22.067502
2024-12-22 0.276109 1.005870 2.465207 5.093237 9.245059 15.125423 23.644522
2024-12-29 0.248589 0.988532 2.528766 5.367100 9.919367 16.434260 25.946097
2025-01-05 0.215059 0.949414 2.550643 5.578987 10.517972 17.667312 28.193864
2025-01-12 0.175210 0.880224 2.504954 5.671379 10.934558 18.651088 30.119718
2025-01-19 0.129571 0.774050 2.368106 5.591698 11.073808 19.234043 31.496382
2025-01-26 0.107056 0.731139 2.357214 5.733034 11.566084 20.339515 33.622425
2025-02-02 0.085569 0.680551 2.321075 5.822526 11.973239 21.323670 35.588464
2025-02-09 0.059294 0.592005 2.182439 5.706708 12.034369 21.789070 36.818542
2025-02-16 0.038623 0.507070 2.034818 5.557837 12.028337 22.146564 37.892911
2025-02-23 0.026325 0.450621 1.947343 5.517987 12.200897 22.774375 39.363672
2025-03-02 0.016667 0.394395 1.848011 5.443568 12.306889 23.297550 40.685332
2025-03-09 0.014271 0.392095 1.901124 5.690180 12.981234 24.713971 43.337936
2025-03-16 0.009630 0.359313 1.858254 5.728365 13.285982 25.556184 45.151657